Browsing Archive: May, 2009

Pattern Trader

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Wednesday, May 27, 2009, In : New Feature 
In a first for South Africa, we are piloting a new service that scans the JSE and highlights major classic/famous chart patterns such as head-and-shoulders, double tops/bottoms, triple tops/bottoms, ascending/decending triangles etc. This allows you to time your trades to minimise risk and also discover opportunities or identify trend reversals.



Go to SIGNALTRADER on the main menu bar to get access.
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CycleTrends Tests

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Monday, May 25, 2009, In : Software Evaluation 

After attending a training course by Dr Issy Bacher, we have laid out the R5,000 for his CycleTrends software so that we can test its ability to time share purchases. We will conduct our usual extensive backtests as well as guage the effect of using the software on all our model portfolios. We will produce a report for all our paid subscribers, including the whole "user experience" and support we received. If the software is as good as it is supposed to be it could significantly enhance retur...


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BLUECHIP Launched

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Monday, May 25, 2009, In : New Strategy 
Not soon after launching our groundbreaking  RiskCurves research, PowerStocks Labs went to work to develop their 3rd "designer investing strategy" tailored specifically for the JSE, dubbed "BLUECHIP". PowerStocks Labs examined RiskCurve data from the 10 largest, most dominant shares on the JSE (together having a 0.85 correlation coefficient to the TOPI index) to determine, probalistically, which 5 shares displayed the following characteristics:

1. Least risk of losing money after 6 and 12 mont...
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Launch of JSE RiskCurves

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Friday, May 22, 2009, In : New Feature 
We are pleased to launch another first - JSE RiskCurves - which are probability models for individual shares on the JSE.The RiskCurves attempt to expose the personality of individual JSE shares for the investor by analysing its historical daily price data as far back as possible, right back to 1960 in some cases. We then create thousands of individual investments, one for each day of the shares' existance and track 1,3,6 month and 1,2,...10 year subsequent growth of these investments. We then...
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We launch Market Timing Scorecard

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Tuesday, May 19, 2009, In : New Feature 

Some of the more sophisticated but incredibly successful strategies we will be launching soon for our paid subscribers(such as the Zweig Strategy) require the investor to couple market ENTRY/EXIT timing with their stock selection descisions. To prepare for this we have launched the PowerStocks Market Timing Scorecard that keeps tabs on the 7 things our research has shown that most impact stock market returns over time.



The Scorecard is shown above and will also appear on the SCORECARD menu. As...


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History of JSE Bears

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Tuesday, May 19, 2009, In : Updated research 

Our "History of JSE Bears" paper is the 2nd most popular page on our web site. We have completely re-written this research with some fascinating new information such as effects of historical P/E and Dividend yields on triggering bull markets, the "PE Expansion/Compression" effect that dictates declining, range-bound or climbing markets as well as the effects of interest rate cycles on stock market boom/busts.

We show these international theories in practice by backtesting them on the JSE and ...


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Probability of winning on JSE

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Thursday, May 14, 2009, In : New Research 
We have published new groundbreaking research on the probabilities of winning on the JSE. We took the last 50 years of ALSH data and made 12,588 hypothetical investments since 1960 for 1,2,3...10 year holding periods and calculated subsequent growths to produce a probability model for returns.

Makes for fascinating and entertaining reading. As our motto says "The JSE like you've never seen it before!"

The research is available from the RESEARCH main menu tab.
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We launch JSE-TRAX

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Tuesday, May 12, 2009, In : New Strategy 
PowerStocks Labs has been busy at it again, and we are pleased to announce a new "designer investing strategy" tailored for the SA market that we will be tracking in our live model portfolios dubbed JSE-TRAX. JSE-TRAX is designed to track or marginally beat the performance of the JSE-ALSH index whilst significantly lowering volatility of monthly returns and minimising your exposure to market risk. It is a simple mechanical trading strategy that leans on the 20 and 10 year research done by the...
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Sell in May and go Away

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Monday, May 11, 2009, In : New Research 
We have completed in-depth research going back 20 years to validate this old Wall Street adage on the JSE. We also use the seasonality of monthly returns on the JSE to derive a mechanical investing strategy to beat the ALSH whilst significantly lowering risk and volatility. The strategy can be easily implemented by using an ETF instrument such as Satrix  as proxy for the ALSH. The research is available at the RESEARCH main menu
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TurboShares Launched

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Thursday, May 7, 2009, In : New Strategy 
We have had 6 months to observe various live strategies and study their back-test performances and now have a feeling for what works and responds well to market upturns. We currently have about 40 JSE shares sitting in 9 of our best performing strategies (see the SCOREBOARD menu for the performance of these strategies).

We started noticing that some shares kept cropping up time and again when populating these strategies and on 30th March our PowerStocks Labs team decided upon a novel idea of c...
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"Rebound" Strategy Vindicated

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Wednesday, May 6, 2009, In : Performance 

The "Bouncers" Rebound Strategy, based on research we conducted in "Anatomy of a Crash", is performing incredibly well since the turn of the market in the trough of  3 March 2009.

A YTD analysis of the performance of the two 60-day old rebound strategies "A.Rank Combo" and "B.Top100" are displayed below. DECLINE represents each shares' decline in the 22 May 2008 to 3 March 2009 peak-to-trough and YTD RISE represents their subsequent growth out the trough up till 5 May 2009.



These strategies ar...
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JSE Momentum Ranking Table

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Monday, May 4, 2009, In : New Feature 
We have updated the JSE MomentumMap on the front page of the website, and copied in the image below.

As a new feature you can now click on the image below and download a Excel spreadsheet of the entire JSE ORDs categorised into the various momentum categories.



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April 30th Updates

Posted by PowerStocks Research on Monday, May 4, 2009, In : Site changes 
The following major updates as at 30th April 2009 were posted today:

1. At the Piotroski Blog, we published a new JSE F-Score rankings table. We also published a new candidates list for shares with F>7 and Price/Book less than 1. 

2. Also at the Piotroski blog, the two Piotroski live model portfolios have had performance updates posted.

3. At the Magic Formula blog we have posted various live model portfolio performance updates for T40-5SH-MF1, T40-5SH-MF2, T40-5SH-MF3, MF-10SH-0, MF-10SH-1 and ...
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